The Town Files

Lake Barcroft, Virginia

Community in Fairfax County · population 9,770 (2020 Census)

Map: where Lake Barcroft is in VirginiaLake Barcroft
Median home
$887,300
Household income
$140,882
Jan low / Jul high
26° / 88°
Snow a year
6 in
Tornadoes ≤10 mi since 1950
25
Median age
40.7

Lake Barcroft is a community of 9,770 people in Fairfax County, Virginia. The median home is worth $887,300, above the typical Virginia town ($298,050). It ranks better for cycling than 90% of Virginia towns, more walkable than 89% of Virginia towns, better transit than 84% of Virginia towns.

Lake Barcroft in our rankings:

How Lake Barcroft ranks

Percentile among Virginia towns with at least 500 people on The Town Files lifestyle rankings. 50 is typical for the state; 90 means better than 90% of Virginia towns.

Lake Barcroft lifestyle rankings vs other Virginia townsRetirement62nd pctFamilies53rd pctQuiet28th pctWalkability89th pctFirst-time buyers61st pctYoung professionals81st pctVibrancy60th pctHip & trendy76th pctCollege town71st pctUpscale80th pctVacation homesbottomSeaside characterbottomCycling90th pctTransit84th pctDriving7th pcttypical
The Town Files lifestyle rankings, built from federal demographic, school, crime and housing data (2025).

Homes and cost of living

The median home in Lake Barcroft is worth $887,300, above the typical Virginia town ($298,050). Homes cost about 6.3 times the median household income of $140,882, which is more affordable than 3% of Virginia towns. Median rent is $1,923 a month. 68.4% of households own their home.

Lake Barcroft vs Fairfax County vs typical Virginia townLake BarcroftFairfax CountyTypical Virginia townHome value$887,300$732,800$298,050Household income$140,882$153,637$78,595Monthly rent$1,923$2,276$1,254
Census ACS 5-year estimates, 2020–2024. "Typical town" = median of Virginia towns with 500+ people.
HousingLake BarcroftTypical Virginia town
Median home value$887,300$298,050
Median rent$1,923$1,254
Median household income$140,882$78,595
Home value ÷ income6.3×3.8×
Homeownership68.4%69.2%
Median year built19611980
Seasonal / vacation homes0.0%—

Who lives in Lake Barcroft

PeopleLake BarcroftTypical Virginia town
Median age40.739.8
Age 65 and over19.8%17.3%
Under 1820.4%—
Bachelor's degree or higher65.1%31.2%
Below the poverty line5.6%8.8%
Veterans6.4%—
Born outside the U.S.31.9%—
Work from home29.8%12.8%
Average commute29.9 min26.3 min
Homes with broadband96.6%91.8%

Weather in Lake Barcroft

July highs average 88.2°F and January lows 25.5°F. About 48.5 inches of rain and melted snow fall a year, with 5.8 inches of snow (typical Virginia town: 13.4 in). Expect about 44 days a year at 90°F or hotter and 95 nights at or below freezing.

Lake Barcroft monthly temperatures and precipitation20°30°40°50°60°70°80°90°32° freezing43°26°Jan46°27°Feb55°34°Mar68°44°Apr76°54°May84°63°Jun88°68°Jul86°66°Aug79°59°Sep68°47°Oct56°36°Nov47°30°DecPrecipitation (in) · snow (in) in blue3.32.93.21.44.20.73.54.44.25.14.44.54.43.33.80.8
NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals: average daily high and low by month; precipitation and snowfall in inches. Temperatures from the Dalecarlia Rsvr station (6.5 mi away).

Tornadoes, storms and disasters

25 tornadoes have passed within 10 miles of Lake Barcroft since 1950, compared with 11 for the typical Virginia town. 6 rated (E)F2 or stronger. The strongest, an F3, struck on September 5, 1979 about 0.8 miles from the town center and killed 1. Tornadoes within 10 miles have caused 1 deaths and 45 injuries since 1950. The most recent was on March 31, 2022.

Tornadoes within 10 miles of Lake Barcroft by decade11950s11960s31970s21980s31990s52000s62010s42020s
NOAA Storm Events Database, tornado tracks (start to end point) passing within 10 miles of the town center, 1950–2026.

Hail of 1 inch or larger has been reported within 10 miles 119 times; the largest was 3.00 inches on August 11, 2004.

Severe weather in Fairfax County since 1996

Storm events in Fairfax County since 1996 by typeHail145Heat50Flood292Dense Fog70High Wind19Heavy Rain21Flash Flood238Strong Wind24
NOAA Storm Events Database, Fairfax County, 1996–2026 (all event types recorded since 1996). 12 deaths recorded.

Fairfax County has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1953, most often for flood, freezing, hurricane.

DeclaredIncidentDeclaration
January 23, 2026Winter StormEM-3631: Severe Winter Storm
April 2, 2020BiologicalDR-4512: Covid-19 Pandemic
March 13, 2020BiologicalEM-3448: Covid-19
September 11, 2018HurricaneEM-3403: Hurricane Florence
March 7, 2016SnowstormDR-4262: Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm

Jobs and pay in Fairfax County

Fairfax County had 636,430 jobs in 2024, paying an average of $114,100 a year. Unemployment was 2.5% in 2023; in Lake Barcroft itself the ACS puts it at 5%.

Largest industries in Fairfax CountyProfessional & technical serv…158,868 jobs · $166,553Health care & social assistan…72,266 jobs · $80,261Retail48,953 jobs · $50,278Administrative & support45,826 jobs · $93,929Hotels & restaurants44,130 jobs · $34,579Finance & insurance25,572 jobs · $173,276
BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, 2024, private-sector jobs and average annual pay.
Unemployment rate in Fairfax County, 2000–20230%2%4%6%2000200420082012201620202023Fairfax 2.5%
Annual average unemployment rate (BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics via USDA ERS).

Towns near Lake Barcroft

Lake Barcroft questions

Is Lake Barcroft, Virginia a good place to retire?

On The Town Files lifestyle rankings, Lake Barcroft scores better for retirees than 62% of Virginia towns and quieter than 28%. 19.8% of residents are 65 or older (median age 40.7).

How much does a house cost in Lake Barcroft?

The median owner-occupied home in Lake Barcroft is valued at $887,300 (Census ACS 2020–2024), against a median household income of $140,882, so homes cost about 6.3 times income. Median rent is $1,923 a month.

What is the weather like in Lake Barcroft?

July highs average 88.2°F and January lows 25.5°F (NOAA 1991–2020 normals). It gets about 48.5 inches of precipitation a year and 5.8 inches of snow.

Does Lake Barcroft get tornadoes?

25 tornadoes have passed within 10 miles of Lake Barcroft since 1950 (NOAA Storm Events); the strongest was a F3 on September 5, 1979. The typical Virginia town has had 11.

How this page is made. Every number comes from public data, matched to Lake Barcroft's Census boundary (GEOID 5143352). Comparisons use the median of Virginia towns with at least 500 people. Weather comes from the nearest NOAA normals station; storm counts use NOAA tornado tracks within 10 miles of the town center. Data snapshot 2026-11-13.